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Around SBN: Bracketology 2012: Duke Finally Steps Up To The No. 1 Line

Very Early Week Two (One?) BlogPoll Draft Ballot

It's very early and very rough, so it's after the fold if you care.

Star-divide

A few primers on how we vote on the BlogPoll here at Rakes:

1)      This is done by resume.  It is not a power poll.  It is not a predictor of future success.

2)      If your argument involves "Team A would beat Team B on a neutral field" or "Team A would go 5-7 with Team B's schedule," I don't want to hear it.  You don't know.  I don't know.  Nobody knows.  We deal with reality, not fantasy.

The best way to get on the initial BlogPoll is to play and beat a Division I team during Week One.  You'd be surprised how few teams you're working with if you limit your criteria to that one minor fact.  If you were an underdog, playing on the road or had talking heads picking against you, that is worth a bonus.  If you flat-out dominated, that's pretty good, too.

If you played a Division I-AA team, you're not being ranked, which is why teams like Arkansas, Auburn, Florida State, Stanford and Penn State aren't on here.  I assure you, if the Nittany Lions win in Tuscaloosa Saturday night, they will shoot up the rankings.

The team I don't know where to place is Virginia Tech.  They lost, but by a hair to a great team.  Are they five?  Ten?  Fifteen?  Please help.

This early on we're not working with a lot of data, so consider these the tiers.

1 -3 Boise State, TCU and Utah.  Conveniently all future or current members of the Mountain West, they had the best wins of the weekend.

4 - 9 (Michigan to Maryland) Teams with wins over quality-type competition that a majority of commentators though were going to beat them. 

10 - 13 (Alabama to Miami) Dominating performances by clearly talented teams over crappy Division I teams.  These were all no-doubters from the word go, and despite the quality of competition, you get bonus points for doing what you're supposed to do.

Everybody else: Not particularly in love with anyone from this point on, but I think Virginia Tech could be in the top ten. Two losers (Oregon State, Virginia Tech), and a bunch of decent wins over bad BCS conference teams or better non-BCS games.

On the cusp: Georgia, Michigan State, Mississippi State, Pittsburgh, Washington, Jacksonville State (if I could vote for them), Notre Dame (probably should be there, but I'd rather wait and see than overrate)

 

 


What do I need to change, based on this weekend's action?  We're working with a very finite amount of data here and there will be some big swings after next weekend, but no reason to not get the best grip we can on this.

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It's pretty much impossible to make a poll at this point

but I would say you had a good plan and most of it makes sense. I could probably swap 10-15 teams around and be equally satisfied.

My biggest problem is seeing Oregon, Bama, and Ohio State down so low. How do you compare kicking the shit out of a team to beating a much better team?

by djta on Sep 7, 2010 1:18 PM EDT reply actions  

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